Recently - Ipsos-Reid did a poll on support for provincial political parties. You can review the particulars of that poll here
Overall - the NDP hold a 36-45% support lead over the reigning BC Liberals who have between 30-38% and voter support for the BC Conservatives' between 9-12% and 16% who are undecided.
But - on support for provincial political leaders:
Christy Clark - 45% support with 46% non-support and 9% saying "Don't Know"
Adrian Dix - 43% support with 36% non-support and 21% saying "Don't Know"
John Cummins - 23% support with 33% non-support and 45% saying "Don't Know"
Finally - by sub-region:
Metro Vancouver:
NDP - 45% support
BC Liberals - 35% support
BC Conservatives - 14% support
Vancouver Island:
NDP - 54% support
BC Liberals - 31% support
BC Conservatives - 8% support
Interior/North:
NDP - 39% support
BC Liberals - 46% support
BC Conservatives - 9% support
Final Comments:
While the NDP have support in Metro Vancouver and Vancouver Island, the reigning BC Liberals have comfortable support in the Interior and Northern BC. Meanwhile - the BC Conservatives have just enough support to play "spoiler" in Interior/North and Vancouver Island to the BC Liberals' but could have enough support (if developed over time) to elect a few MLA's in Metro Vancouver. Also - if John Cummins converts his 45% "don't know" into "support", things could get really ugly for the BC Liberals as we approach 2013
Overall - the BC Liberals have a ton of work to do in Metro Vancouver/Vancouver Island to get rid of the NDP's lead in these sub-regions while watching the BC Conservatives behind them, with little time remaining to do so (with just under 2 years before the next election)
Finally - while not part of this poll - if the NDP/Liberals and BC Conservatives run candidates in Cariboo-North - I wonder if a 4 way race for this riding could spell doom for Independent MLA Bob Simpson come April of 2013...given when he ran in 2009, it was a two way race with only the NDP/BC Liberals...but on the other hand - BC Conservatives could, in a 4 way race, play "spoiler" to the BC Liberal candidate. But it would come down to how many "NDP" supporters back Mr. Simpson as an independent and not back the local NDP Candidate. This riding may end up being one to watch - given the only other independent MLA in BC is in Delta South (Vicki Huntingdon)
SBF
Showing posts with label John Cummins. Show all posts
Showing posts with label John Cummins. Show all posts
Monday, October 10, 2011
Tuesday, September 27, 2011
My take on John Cummins' speech at the 2011 BC Conservative AGM
Last Saturday - John Cummins, Leader of the BC Conservatives gave a speech to about 150 members of the BC Conservative Party
Watch Part 1 here
Watch Part 2 here
Watch Part 3 here
While I sympathize with certain parts of the BC Conservatives, like making BC Ferries part of the highways system and where ferries users pay "at cost" to keep the ferry system running, there are also parts I simply can not support
Cummins stance on Natives:
When I first run for WL City Councillor in 2005 - I literally took the same "my way or the highway" stance on natives and hence, it was one of the reasons I lost that election
In the meantime - many court decisions and the Canadian Constitution requires we, as a society, be accommodating to their needs. Native peoples are not a "special interest" group but "left-out" Canadian society members' that need to be brought back into the Canadian society fold and efforts to date are not at the place, that even I would like to see them at
I have the funny hunch that Mr. Cummins would not change his stance, even if elected as BC Premier. I, as a Federal Conservative voter and a provincial conservative, can not support his stance with regard to native issues. This is what happens when you learn about how to deal with native issues in a positive way. Note - I have a native member on the CRD Area 'D' Advisory Planning Commission and I've learned plenty on this subject from him
Cummins' stance on policing:
While many would share his frustration with the present state of the Canadian justice system - simply handing over charge-authority to the police is a little scary, from my perspective. While not perfect - I think the present justice system can be strengthened, but let's be clear - no justice system, no matter where it is exists in the world, is pefect. It does make mistakes and that's why you have "checks and balances" to ensure the system works for everyone - criminals/victims
Cummins' stance on natural resources:
While I agree with him "in principle" on this - I'm not too comfortable with his stance that provincial police (RCMP) should enforce federal fishery law. I suspect he has never gotten over his "anti-native" stance on Native Food Fishery on the Fraser River. A stance, I might add, he is somewhat well known for. Also - it reminds me of the stance that former BC Premier Glen Clark took over Nanoose Bay - a fight BC lost when it took over Nanoose Bay later on, during the Jean Chretien years
Final Conclusion:
For the above reasons - and many others, I believe that staying with the BC Liberals' is my best choice. Does my political party make mistakes - Yes, they do as they are just as human, as I am. But this voter is convinced that BC is best served under the BC Liberals'
SBF
Watch Part 1 here
Watch Part 2 here
Watch Part 3 here
While I sympathize with certain parts of the BC Conservatives, like making BC Ferries part of the highways system and where ferries users pay "at cost" to keep the ferry system running, there are also parts I simply can not support
Cummins stance on Natives:
When I first run for WL City Councillor in 2005 - I literally took the same "my way or the highway" stance on natives and hence, it was one of the reasons I lost that election
In the meantime - many court decisions and the Canadian Constitution requires we, as a society, be accommodating to their needs. Native peoples are not a "special interest" group but "left-out" Canadian society members' that need to be brought back into the Canadian society fold and efforts to date are not at the place, that even I would like to see them at
I have the funny hunch that Mr. Cummins would not change his stance, even if elected as BC Premier. I, as a Federal Conservative voter and a provincial conservative, can not support his stance with regard to native issues. This is what happens when you learn about how to deal with native issues in a positive way. Note - I have a native member on the CRD Area 'D' Advisory Planning Commission and I've learned plenty on this subject from him
Cummins' stance on policing:
While many would share his frustration with the present state of the Canadian justice system - simply handing over charge-authority to the police is a little scary, from my perspective. While not perfect - I think the present justice system can be strengthened, but let's be clear - no justice system, no matter where it is exists in the world, is pefect. It does make mistakes and that's why you have "checks and balances" to ensure the system works for everyone - criminals/victims
Cummins' stance on natural resources:
While I agree with him "in principle" on this - I'm not too comfortable with his stance that provincial police (RCMP) should enforce federal fishery law. I suspect he has never gotten over his "anti-native" stance on Native Food Fishery on the Fraser River. A stance, I might add, he is somewhat well known for. Also - it reminds me of the stance that former BC Premier Glen Clark took over Nanoose Bay - a fight BC lost when it took over Nanoose Bay later on, during the Jean Chretien years
Final Conclusion:
For the above reasons - and many others, I believe that staying with the BC Liberals' is my best choice. Does my political party make mistakes - Yes, they do as they are just as human, as I am. But this voter is convinced that BC is best served under the BC Liberals'
SBF
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)